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San Francisco Q1 2022 Apartment Building Market Report

San Francisco Q1 2022 Apartment Building Market Report

April 2022 Multi-Family Market Report for Residential 5+ Unit Buildings

The first quarter of 2022 saw gradual increases in employment, office occupancy and rental rates in San Francisco, and Covid restrictions have loosened substantially, all positives for the residential income property market. But mortgage interest rates soared, especially towards the end of the quarter, which substantially increases the cost of ownership for buyers. Q1 2022 sales volume ran close to first quarter volumes in recent years, but market activity typically picks up significantly in Q2. We have calculated a variety of value statistics on the Q1 market, but they should be considered very preliminary until a larger number of sales close in 2022. There are also some analyses based on the last 12 months of sales.

5+ unit residential income buildings. Sales reported to SF and NorCal MLS. This market consists of a relatively small number of sales, of buildings of widely varying sizes, qualities and financial characteristics, across a broad range of locations: This makes meaningful statistical analysis more difficult. Data from sources deemed reliable, but may contain errors and subject to revision. Q1 2022 numbers are estimates using data available in early April 2022: Late reported sales may alter these numbers. All numbers approximate.


San Francisco 5+ Unit Apartment Building Sales

12 Months Sales, by Price Segment 

Chart comparing San Francisco apartment building sales by price segment and building size, with median prices and sizes.

 

Multi-Unit Residential Property Sales, 5+ Units

12 Months Sales, by San Francisco Realtor District

Chart of San Francisco apartment building sales by district and building size, with notes on age and construction.

 

San Francisco Residential Rents  - Approximate, Good Faith Estimates*

Average Asking Rent, 1994 - Present, Q1 Data Points (except as noted)

Chart tracks estimated San Francisco asking rents from 1994 to Q1 2022, with a steep rise, pandemic-era drop, and rebound.

 

 

San Francisco Apartment Building Market - 5+ Units

Listings Closing Sale in Quarter since 2017

Bar chart of San Francisco apartment building sales by quarter, 2017–Q1 2022, showing the pandemic dip and recovery.

 

San Francisco Apartment Building Market - 5+ Units

Active Listings Listed for Sale at End of Month

Chart of San Francisco apartment building listings, showing monthly counts for five-plus-unit buildings from 2018 to 2022.

 

Average Gross Rent Multiples

San Francisco 5+ Unit Apartment Building Sales

Chart of San Francisco apartment building gross rent multiples, peaking at 17.8 in 2016 and showing 14.8 in Q1 2022.

 

Average Cap Rates

San Francisco 5+ Unit Apartment Building Sales

 

Bar chart of San Francisco apartment cap rates, rising to 5.0% in Q1 2022.

 

Average Price per Unit 

San Francisco 5+ Unit Apartment Building Sales 

Chart of average San Francisco apartment building price per unit, with quarterly 2022 data at $465,000.

 

San Francisco 5+ Unit Apartment Building Sales

Average Dollar per Square Foot Values

Chart of San Francisco apartment building sale prices per square foot, 2003–Q1 2022; peak $562 in 2018.

 

Median Sales Price Trends since 2011

San Francisco 5-15 Unit Residential Apartment Buildings 

Chart comparing median San Francisco apartment building sale prices from 2011 through 2022 YTD.

 

Median Price per Square Foot - Selected Submarkets 

5+ Unit Apartment Buildings - 2021 Sales

Bar chart compares 2021 median price per square foot for six Bay Area apartment submarkets.

 

Mortgage Interest Rate Trends, 2016 - Present

30 - Year Conforming Fixed-Rate Loans, Weekly Average Readings 

Chart of mortgage interest rates from 2016 to March 2022, showing a sharp rise in early 2022.

 

San Francisco Employment Trends 

Number of Employed Residents, 2000 to February 2022

Chart of San Francisco employment from 2000 to February 2022, showing a sharp pandemic dip and recovery.

 

Office Occupancy Rates Rebound Dramatically in Early 2022, But Still Remain Depressed

Weekly Office Attendance in San Francisco and Other Selected Metros, Through March 23

Line chart compares weekly office attendance rates across five metro areas from April 2020 to March 2022.

 

Consumer Price Index

12- Month Percentage Change, Past 20 Years

Consumer Price Index chart from 2002 to 2022, ending at 7.9% in February 2022.

 

Consumer Sentiment (Confidence) Index 

University of Michigan, January 1978 - February 2022

Chart of consumer sentiment from 1978 to February 2022, showing lows during recessions and the pandemic.

 

San Francisco Apartment Building Sales

By Broker, 5+ Unit Residential Sales, 2019-2022 YTD*

Bar chart comparing Compass and other San Francisco brokerages’ sales of five-plus-unit apartment buildings.

 

Note that the quantity of sales in any given local submarket is usually relatively small and/or the number of sales that report the necessary financial information can be limited. Buildings of different ages, qualities and sizes selling in different periods can cause these average and median figures to fluctuate significantly. Furthermore, the reliability of some of these calculations depends upon the quality of the income and expense figures provided by the listing agents, and sometimes instead of actual members, much less meaningful projected or scheduled figures are used. Late reported listings and sales may change these statistics. Therefore, the above statistics should be considered very general indicators, and how they apply to any particular property without a specific comparative market analysis is unknown.

 

These analyses were made in good faith with data from sources deemed reliable, but they may contain errors and are subject to revision. Statistics are generalities and all numbers should be considered approximate. 

 

Compass is a real estate broker licensed by the State of California, DRE 01527235. Equal Housing Opportunity. This report has been prepared solely for information purposes. The information herein is based on or derived from information generally available to the public and/or from sources believed to be reliable. No representation or warranty can be given with respect to the accuracy or completeness of the information. Compass disclaims any and all liability relating to this report, including without limitation any express or implied representations or warranties for statements contained in, and omissions from, the report. Nothing contained herein is intended to be or should be read as any regulatory, legal, tax, accounting or other advice and Compass does not provide such advice. Al opinions are subject to change without notice. Compass makes no representation regarding the accuracy of any statements regarding any references to the laws, statutes or regulations of any state are those of the author(s). Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

 

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During his past experiences, Hanna John Azar has gained particularly strong knowledge and hands-on experience in maneuvering complex multi-faceted value-add investments.
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